At least six Ukrainian battalions were overrun, and the remainder endured serious losses to aerial interdiction en route to the Dnieper. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. If you enjoyed the video, drop a LIKE and SUBSCRIBE for more.Join my discord server: me on Patreon: OFFICIAL VERSION FOR COMPUTER - just the last seven days, one million people have fled Ukraine because of the pointless war waged by the Russian Federation. But before that decision was announced, Russian intelligence sees missile and troop movements that indicate an impending NATO attack and decide to strike first with tactical nuclear weapons. The idea is that the threat of a nuclear strike would force any opponent, in this case NATO, to return to the status quo. NAVY PLANS 'BLUE FORCE' OPEN WATER WEAPONS STRATEGY FOR NEW FRIGATE. "Once the nuclear threshold is crossed, it may be very difficult to prevent escalation to an all-out nuclear war, i.e., escalating from single use, to a tactical nuclear war in Europe, to a counterforce attack, and ultimately to a countervalue attacktargeting cities and economic centers with the aim of inhibiting the other side's recovery," Glaser said. Approximately 90 percent of all nuclear warheads are owned by Russia and the United States, who each have around 4,000 warheads in their military stockpiles; no other nuclear-armed state sees a need for more than a few hundred nuclear weapons for national security, the FAS notes. North Korea, Iran and China forming nuclear 'axis' of horror, Russia humiliated as military helicopters destroyed in strike. James Lacey, Ph.D., holds the Horner Chair of War Studies at Marine Corps University. Next War: Poland simulates a Russian invasion of that nation. Josh Calder shared this infographic with me, developing a sequence of events for three different ways forward: diplomacy, irregular war, and a conventional attack. The chaos of the past week might be incorrectly comforting. You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! The GFP country comparison form is provided to allow you to make direct, side-by-side comparisons of any two world powers represented in the GFP database. The war in Ukraine is fuelling a global . Likewise, Russia carried out its own strategic nuclear drills just a matter of days before invading Ukraine. Multiple scenarios give us ways to see divergent possibilities. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. Its total in 2021 was estimated to be $801bn, according to Statista. The Russians attacking out of the Crimea are already advancing on Mykolaiv, a distance of approximately 150 miles from their line of departure in Crimea. The goal is to get the highest score either before 500s timer ends or Ukraine gets destroyed by Russian Z Forces. You can unsubscribe at any time. To Matt I'm sorry, and I' Facebook comments not loading? Thus, the Russian players primary focus, during the first few days of the campaign, was aimed at gaining freedom of maneuver in the skies air dominance along with destroying Ukraines coastal defense systems. If you want to see more war simulations, let me know in the comments. In the final stage of the conflict, both Russia and NATO target the 30 most populated cities and economic centers of the other sideusing 5-10 nuclear warheads on each depending on population sizein an attempt to inhibit the potential for recovery. According to research organization RAND, should a major conflict arise in Russia and China's 'backyards,' US forces would be crushed by a vast array of both conventional and cyber weapons. Photos; Timeline; . This video is a war simulation between Ukraine and Russia.This video was not made to offend anyone! If this wargame had been played at the Pentagon or the White House in the weeks leading up to the war, no strategist or policymaker would be shocked by any event so far seen in the war. Once again, the wargame matched actual Russian moves with uncanny accuracy. Once the Russian offensive began to roll there was a wide expectation of a rapid armored descent on Ukraines key cities Kyiv, Kharkiv, Dnipro, and Odessa. or redistributed. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, An excellent case can be made that the Russians made similar calculations at the start of the current war. At this time, the Russian fires complex (artillery, air, and missiles) switched its priority to destroying Ukrainian fire support systems. Some of that force was moved north to the Belarussian border in case of a secondary Russian assault out of western Belarus, but most of it was ordered east to help defend Kyiv and to bolster the Dnieper defense. To combat these threats, U.S. forces could ramp up their deployment of so-called standoff missiles that can be fired from large distances, such as cruise missiles, according to Ochmanek, along with highly robust reconnaissance systems and jam-resistant communications. If he used them, he would probably lose China.. In the wargame, the Ukraine team screened the bottleneck to the north of the Crimean Peninsula but could not contain a powerful Russian attack that pushed through and advanced on Kherson. Americas posture is also key when it comes to challenging potential adversaries such as Russia, according to Ochmanek. It may turn out the Russian advance was slowed due to political directives, but, at the moment, many observers can fairly attribute much of what is being reported from the battlefield to general Russian incompetence. In the north, a Ukrainian brigade conducted a spoiling attack against Russian forces across the border in Belarus. Fact-Check | Video game simulation video from a game called ARMA 3 has gone viral with social media users claiming that it shows live visuals of the war between Russia and Ukraine. A simulation shows how a nuclear war between Russia and NATO could potentially play out in a horrific scenario that would result in the deaths of millions of people around the world within hours. Staff writer Carlito Pablo lives in Vancouver. A video claims to show war between Russia and Ukraine before the former had invaded the latter. A Foreign Affairs article offers a range of outcomes following Russian success in Ukraine. I find scenarios help us think about futures usefully. Russias military doctrine has a de-escalation policy: its response to a large-scale conventional attack would be met with a limited nuclear strike. Editors note: Dont miss our comprehensiveguide to Russias war against Ukraine. Close watchers of the Russia-Ukraine war say the fluid and rapidly changing nature of the conflict makes it hard to gauge what will happen next in Ukraine, with both Moscow's . He continued: There was a time when they simulated bombing runs on Denmark or coming down the Baltic Sea. More info. There have been dozens of wars in the almost 80 years since World War II ended. Long-term strategic competitions with China and Russia are the principal priorities for the Department, and require both increased and sustained investment, because of the magnitude of the threats they pose to U.S. security and prosperity today, and the potential for thosethreats to increase in the future, the strategy explains. Nazis, genocide, Nato, history: Russia has no shortage of . While it is not clear if Russian President Vladimir Putin would ever go so far as to use nuclear weapons, the escalation of the conflict in Ukraine has led to a spike in discussions about the potential outbreak of nuclear war. Actual events also highlight the importance of the human domain and how difficult it is to effectively model or assess prior to conflict. A Russian ballistic missiles guidance system fails and crash-lands into NATO member Poland, killing 34 civilians as it tragically lands into a populated village along the Polish-Ukraine border, Kazianis recalled about one scenario in the simulation. NATO decides to respond in kind, Kazianis wrote. Get a daily look at whats developing in science and technology throughout the world. He says he has a beard like one. Join my discord server: Support me on Patreon: https://www.patreon.c. Theyre showing them that theyre taking that contingency seriously.. In real life, the Ukrainians appear to have opted to do as our after-action analysis tells us was the best course of action, and Kharkiv continues to hold out against increasingly ferocious Russian assaults. AIR FORCE FAST-TRACKS NEW NUCLEAR MISSILES. So, although the number of actual strikes made by the Russians in the conflicts first 24-hours tracked almost exactly to what was employed by the Russians in the wargame, the impact was substantially different. At present, none of these cities have fallen, and the Russian ground offensive appears to be slowing, as it faces stiffening resistance and logistic challenges. This stands in stark contrast to what Russia has achieved in its actual operations. The result: one billion people die in a nuclear war. In the ensuing battle, both the 27th SMRB and the Ukrainian 92nd Mechanized Brigade were destroyed. Published On 4 Mar 2023 4 Mar 2023 Biden, Scholz pledge to punish Russia over Ukraine war There are just two bridges on the southern sector of the Dnieper River which are key terrain. Putin's daughter 'flipped out' after hearing of father's big news, Russia-Ukraine: Barbaric chemical weapons used in Syria, 'Cataclysmic' history repeats itself as Russia set to default on debt, Vladimir Putin's 'emotional chaos' childhood laid bare, Russia defied by Finland: 'Clearly a part of the West', Putin wanted 'anti-EU' alliance with UK before Ukraine invasion, Russian losses: The REAL stats as Ukraine reveals startling figures, Putin fury at 'deplorable' Von der Leyen as NATO-Russia tensions mount, Europes dependence on Russian gas EXAMINED. Putin joined Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko for a "major military . Saturday, 4th March 2023See today's front and back pages, download the newspaper, order back issues and use the historic Daily Express newspaper archive. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. Civilians flee embattled Bakhmut as Ukrainian pullout looms, Russia-Ukraine war: List of key events, day 374, Biden, Scholz pledge to punish Russia over Ukraine war, Wagner chief urges Ukraines Zelenskyy to abandon Bakhmut, The Wagner Group explained | Start Here, Russias Andrey Kelin: Ukraine invasion can be called civil war, Biden, Scholz praise Western cooperation on Ukraine, Russia-Ukraine war: List of key events, day 373, Russia envoy denies atrocities, blames West for Ukraines misery, US arrests two for allegedly exporting aviation tech to Russia, Indias G20 meeting ends without consensus on Russia-Ukraine war, Russia accuses Ukraine of cross-border attack in Bryansk, Blinken, Lavrov talk at G20 meeting as US-Russia tensions soar, Russias Generation Z: Some are more Z than others, Al Jazeera Centre for Public Liberties & Human Rights. This situation is worsened by something becoming more apparent by the day; the Russian militarys capacity to conduct a vast joint and combined arms assault may not be quite as good as advertised. Gotta love @BryanAlexanders ability to catalyze a conversation without leaning on hyperbole or triggers. | Rob Reynolds. I think this is at the small unit scale, but haven . Before its weapon systems are destroyed, Russia fires missiles launched from silos, road-mobile vehicles, and submarines. The video is sped up, obviously, and the invasion clearly would not happen as quickly as in the video. The result . By still being able to communicate to the outside world, Zelenskyy has single-handedly changed the strategic balance rallied Western support beyond what anyone could have foreseen, to include anti-tank weapon support from both Germany and Sweden. The preceding scenarios depict futures as narratives. Still, one hopes that Western pressure, and the infliction of unacceptable losses upon Putins legions will create an opening for a negotiated peace. The intent of these orders was to lure Russias 8th Combined Arms Army into expending vast amounts of resources hitting empty positions, as the Ukrainians would have already fallen back to the Dnieper River. Much of this is what one would expect based on what we know about the Russian way of war. AIR FORCE BUILDS NEW DEEP STRIKE 'SPY NETWORK' FOR AIR ATTACK. But, on the other hand, no one involved in this wargame has been much surprised by anything unfolding on the ground. On Thursday (March 10), Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said that he does not believe that the conflict in Ukraine would lead to a nuclear war. Its putting more combat power back into Europe, and putting it on Europes eastern flank, he said. The nuclear exchange quickly escalates in Europe with Russia sending 300 warheads via aircraft and short-range missiles to hit NATO bases and advancing troops. 100% 0. A year after Russia's invasion of Ukraine sparked the largest conflict in Europe since World War II, the repercussions . Liked it? 221 Nassau St., 2nd Fl. The selected countries for comparison, Russia and Ukraine, are displayed below in side-by-side format.The Primary selection is displayed in Blue while the Secondary selection is displayed in Red.Go back to compare two other military powers. The only difference was that in the wargame these strikes were focused on eliminating Ukraines air force and air defense network, whereas the actual distribution of Russian strikes has been more varied. It ranks in the top five nations which spend the most on their military. Ex-French soldier who witnessed the Bucha war crimes committed against civilians by the Armed Forces of Ukraine survives assassination attempt by Kiev, requests asylum in Russia "Those 87K armed IRS agents are needed to fight the black market which will spring up as soon as CBDC is introduced." ZH Comment You can use this widget-maker to generate a bit of HTML that can be embedded in your website to easily allow customers to purchase this game on Steam. Scores of war games carried out by the United States and its allies in the wake of Russia's 2014 invasion of Ukraine make it clear that Putin would probably use a nuclear weapon if he concludes . War in Petropol . In the east, the Russians were starting to encircle Kharkiv and the 8th Combined Arms Army was emerging from the Donetsk area to attack towards Melitopol and the Dnieper River. Consequently, throughout the wargame, these headquarters remained functional and effective, as the Russians focused much of their available long-range strikes on gaining air dominance. On the third day of the wargame, the Russians launched a combined ground, air, and amphibious assault on the Ukrainian defenses around Kherson accelerated in execution due to the short time available to play the game. Simulations perform a similar function, as a given run-through constitutes a narrative. Russia vs Ukraine war google map simulation 2022.Please don't take this simulation seriously, it is only for entertainment purposes. Anyway, the scenario is relitively simple, but did take some time to make. Feb. 21, 2022. This exercise helps to ensure that NATOs nuclear deterrent remains safe, secure and effective.. Please check your browser settings to ensure that it is not blocking Facebook from running on Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window). Billionaire Oleg Deripaska said Russia could find its coffers empty already next year and needs investment from "friendly" countries to break the hold of . Today's video presents a war simulation, which maps out a war between Russia and Ukraine. Prior to the conflict one of the Wests great concerns was Russias much-vaunted cyber capabilities. Secondary targets were Ukraines dozens of BUK (SA-17) systems. While it is possible, of course, that a nuclear exchange remains "limited" and the other side backs off or responds with conventional weapons only, there would be huge pressure on decision-makers to "respond in kind" and deny the side to strike first any advantage. Russian missiles could reach the UK within 20 minutes. Let us know in the comments section here. Market data provided by Factset. Cyber activity will ramp up more before a physical war since it is being used as a tool in an attempt to disrupt and weaken countries. Militaries across the world frequently carry out exercises to practise the mechanics of nuclear warfare, but the results of such exercises are rarely publicised. For their part, the U.S., EU and NATO have warned Russia that . "I would not want to speculate how long it would take for humanity to recover," Glaser said. This game is fun, has some glitches but overall is a good rea. Ukraine and several other countries . Both of these actions were, however, discussed by the players in the wargame. First, the Russians have pushed harder out of Belarus to the west of the Dneiper north of Kyiv to strike the city from the rear. In the two weeks prior to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Marine Corps University ran a four-day wargame to simulate the first several days of just such an invasion. STRATFOR created several scenarios describing different Russian invasion strategies: The reality looks most like Hold East Ukraine. The map above shows the prewar garrison positions of Ukraines land forces. The simulation's scenario . With much of Europe destroyed, NATO launches around 600 warheads from U.S.-land and submarine-based missiles at Russian nuclear forces. Nesterivka, Ukraine. It is therefore noteworthy that aside from Anonymous declaring cyber war on Russia, there is very little public reporting of actual cyberattacks by either side. GENEVA (AP) Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine has triggered "the most massive violations of human rights" in the world today, the head of the United Nations said Monday, as the war pushed into its second year with no end in sight and tens of thousands dead. VAT included in all prices where applicable. Your email address will not be published. Within 48 to 72 hours, Russian forces are able to reach a capital of a Baltic state, he said. Tamara Patton, Moritz Ktt, Alex Glaser, Alex Wellerstein, Bruce Blair, Sharon Weiner, Zia Mian, Jeff Snyder, Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion. Sign in to add this item to your wishlist, follow it, or mark it as ignored. Russias plan was to conduct an even longer period of shaping, but the game was time-limited, forcing the players to begin ground operations earlier than they wished. As the Russia-Ukraine war enters its 373rd day, we take a look at the main developments. What does it do? File photo - Artillerymen of 1st Battalion, 41st Field Artillery Regiment fire M109 Alpha 6 Paladins, on Tapa Army Base, Estonia, Nov. 27, 2015. Putin was warned he could lose Chinese support if he goes nuclear. Ill share some here in the hope they give us some ways of thinking about where the crisis may be headed. The Ukrainian commander, in the wargame, decided to send three brigades from the city to counterattack into the flank of Russian armored forces. International Atomic Energy Agency in 24/7 response mode after fire at site of Ukrainian nuclear power plant, Vladimir Putin puts Russian nuclear forces on high alert, Noam Chomsky calls on Justin Trudeau to sign January 22's UN Nuclear Ban Treaty, Georgia Straight guide to the 34th annual Dancing on the Edge festival, Education: Upgrade your skills for a dramatically new world. Only in the south have we seen the Russians making the kind of rapid advances that were expected to take place throughout Ukraine. Since current events gradually render these alternate histories, they may also serve as interesting historical notes. Research organization RAND has run dozens of wargames simulating major conflict scenarios in what it describes as Russia and Chinas backyards. The wargames suggest that the U.S. forces in those locations would get attacked by a vast array of both conventional and cyber weapons. As the wargame ended, the Ukrainians were under pressure in the north, with Russian forces closing in on the eastern approaches to Kyiv and the Dnieper River, while also beginning to cross the border from Belarus into the northwest through the Chernobyl Exclusion Zone. Have an amazing day!Music I May Have Used In The VideoFredji - Happy Life As the Russia-Ukraine war enters its 374th day, we take a look at the main developments. Fears remain that Moscow will launch a nuclear strike on Ukraine. Before NATO can impose its no-fly zone, Putin orders strikes on any remaining airfields and military assets around Lviv, Kazianis related. "Within 48 to 72 hours, Russian forces . Russia must also now be considering next steps. Today's video presents a war simulation, which maps out a war between Russia and Ukraine. Enter up to 375 characters to add a description to your widget: Copy and paste the HTML below into your website to make the above widget appear. - Need more user reviews to generate a score, Espaol - Latinoamrica (Spanish - Latin America). Air Marshal Edward Stringer, former head of RAF intelligence, this week said a conflict involving the use of nuclear weapons will be weighing on the minds of those making difficult calculations at the moment. As the Russian invasion of Ukraine continues, many wonder how it might conclude. ukraine in Experiences; ukraine vs russia war in Experiences; ukraine obby in Experiences; ukraine rp in Experiences; ukraine in People; ukraine in Avatar Shop; . In comparison . Battle of Bakhmut, Ukraine 2023. Search is currently unavailable. Enter your email address to follow this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. The exercise was called the NATO-Russia War of 2019. That Zelenskyy remains capable of talking to his commanders and the outside world is encouraging and clearly has provided a strategic level boost in the information war and in Ukrainian morale. Ukraines ability to score some early wins and demonstrate incredible acts of courage from President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on down have generated an inspired defense, similar to Ukraines course in the wargame. The risk of nuclear war has increased dramatically in the past two years as the United States and Russia have abandoned long-standing nuclear arms control treaties, started to develop new kinds of nuclear weapons and expanded the circumstances in which they might use nuclear weapons. When @BryanAlexander is futuring about you, youd better start futuring yer own dang self! One of us ran the wargame while the others played the Ukrainian and . Based on the wargames, a clash with Russia in the Baltic states would result in the rapid defeat of U.S. forces and their allies, Ochmanek told Fox News. This realistic, facts-based simulation is divided into 3 stages: Nuclear War, Nuclear Fallout and Nuclear Winter. Putin, and those advisers who still have his ear, may have been convinced many Ukrainians would welcome them as liberators and the march to Kyiv would be an easy one. To the end of assessing the consequences of the Ukrainian conflict on the Russian economy, this paper distinguishes four different processes: the structural downturn of the Russian economy prior to the events in Ukraine ; the initial impact - i.e. Putin also orders a massive cyber attack on the Baltic states military infrastructure, thinking that NATO will use the Baltics to stage an invasion of Russia. Local children play in front of a church damaged during Russia's invasion of Ukraine in Kolychivka, Ukraine, April 27, 2022. "The actual fatalities would be significantly increased by deaths occurring from the collapse of medical systems, as well as nuclear fallout and other long-term effects, including a possible global-scale nuclear winter.". (U.S. Army photo by: Sgt Caitlyn Byrne, 10th Press Camp Headquarters). The military escalation in the Ukraine came as an unexpected tragedy. Recalling the experience in an article on The Federalist, an online publication, the defence expert the mock-up was conducted by a group of past and present senior U.S. government officials from both sides of the aisle. The damage done to Ukraines air defense system was extensive, neutralizing the core integrated air defense network in the first two days, although the dispersion of Ukraines BUK systems assured a residual anti-air capability. This project is motivated by the need to highlight the potentially catastrophic consequences of current US and Russian nuclear war plans. Russian President Vladimir Putin gets a sense that NATO is destined to intervene on Ukraines side. More than 90 million people would be killed or injured in a nuclear war between the US and Russia if a conventional conflict went too far, according to a new simulation created by researchers. And secondly, the Russian assault in Kherson was temporarily halted, as the axis of advance in the south for a time turned northeast toward Mariupol. "As far as one can tell, this is the most serious crisis with a potential nuclear dimension involving Russia and the United States/NATO since the end of the Cold War, even if the risk of a nuclear war is still considered 'small'as many analysts would argue," Alex Glaser, one the creators of Plan A, told Newsweek. Typically we build them based on one or two driving forces, and often produce several together for comparative purposes. In the actual conflict, there are recent reports of Ukrainian units moving off these lines suffering large losses, as the wargame predicted. In RANDs wargames and analysis, Russia, and particularlyChina, unleash so many missiles that they overcome U.S. defenses. Next War: Poland photo by Jakub Kircun), Pingback: Looking Back and Looking Forward Are We Ready for This? A screenshot taken from the Plan A nuclear war simulation. Thus, they have held back much of their overwhelming fires complex to avoid destroying significant amounts of infrastructure and killing too many of their Ukrainian brothers. This was the reasoning employed in the game, and most current reporting shows it was the thinking dominating the Kremlin.